Thanks to everyone who has taken part so far for a lively and informed debate. There are as many points of view as there are contributors, but perhaps some common themes are emerging
For clarification, I'd offer several points:
'Future': are we thinking about what we will be seeing in 3 years' time or 5, or 10 ?
What aspect of the future are we thinking about? The history of 'film' accommodates and demonstrates swift and revolutionary changes, e.g.
technological such as sound and hand-held cameras, digital etc
educational: skills and training
(non-) commercial structures
distribution systems and platforms
creating new markets, niches, tastes, (sub)genres
There is no reason to assume that the pace of change has stopped or is slowing, what will we see next?
How are we defining 'film' ?
Who will be making 'films' and what will they be making?
What will 'making' mean? For instance, will the market in moving image be much more dominated by transmedia and interactivity/gaming. e.g. many adolescents have spent more of their time gaming than they have in formal schooling
Where will film-making be taking place? How significant will be the shifts in production centres at local, regional, national and international level?
A “Summary” so far, and sorry if it appears to polarise debate (but see 3, below)
POSITION 1: (The Future of ) Film=
stars, top-down model
Hollywood or Bollywood?
the past = the present = the future
bigbudget & rights management
POSITION 2: (The Future of ) Film =
variety of platforms
Youtube and Nollywood etc
grass-roots, bottom up approaches
POSITION 3: Future of Film = elements of 1 and 2 (above)